Ja samo kazem da ove brojke trebaju imati neki kontekst. Ja se sjecam da smo ovo pratili i prosli puta i da se mijenjalo u korist Republikanaca sto je vrijeme odmicalo, tj. sto smo bili blize izborima. (imas li link za ovo da pratimo?)geralt wrote: ↑11/10/2024 22:062020. je bila posebna zbog Covida i preporuka da se glasa postom da se izbjegnu guzve na dan izbora kojih se drzala samo jedna partija. Ovaj vid glasanja inace najvise koriste penzioneri, koji dosad predstavljaju preko 60% "ranih" glasaca.jeza u ledja wrote: ↑11/10/2024 20:11Ima li gdje malo vise o ovome? Pogotovo usporedba sa prethodnim izborima?geralt wrote: ↑11/10/2024 18:15 Registrovane demokrate nastavljaju da dominiraju nad registrovanim republikancima u ranom glasanju. Wisconsin 40-18% (na oko 200 000 glasova), Pennsylvania 71-21 (oko 344 000 glasova), Michigan 58-33 (oko 390 000 glasova), Florida 43-37 (oko 350 000 glasova). Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona jos imaju relativno malo ranih glasova da se nesto moze zakljuciti, Nevada jos nije pocela sa ranim glasanjem.
Cisto da stavimo stvari u perspektivu, ovako je bilo prosli put:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/20 ... _3-01-png/
Nesto na tu temu:
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation ... 71029.html
EARLY VOTING DATA Early voting has begun in at least thirty-seven states and Washington, D.C., according to the New York Times. Among them are several key swing states, including Pennsylvania, Michigan and Georgia. In these states, upwards of 48 million ballots have been requested so far, with more registered Democrats requesting them than registered Republicans, per the outlet. Further, about 2.5 million in-person and mail-in ballots have already been cast, according to NBC News. Of these, 54% were cast by Democrats and 30% by Republicans. Sixteen percent came from voters not registered with either party, the outlet reported. These figures roughly comport with the early vote breakdown in 2020, when around 60% of Democrats and 32% of Republicans voted by mail, according to a study done by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Btw, broj ranih glasova u Pennsylvaniji je skocio na 416 000 pri zadnjem osvjezavanju, 70-22 za demokrate. Michigan je na 466 000, 57-34.
Evo nadjoh ovdje odlican izvor za usporedbu:
https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g20 ... type=state
Ima svaka drzava, i one koje imaju party affiliation, ima statistika po strankama za 2018, 2020 i 2022 izbore. No nema po datumima (tipa 11. oktobar, vs 20. oktobar).
No evo za Pennsylvaniju nadjoh sljedece - 2020-e 62% early voting glasaca su bile Demokrate, a 30% Republikanci, uz napomenu da je koliko znam Absentee Voting drasticna razlika sa Early Voting. Ti si napisao da je trenutno 70%-22%, sto bi trebalo biti bolje.
U Wisconsinu je bilo 35% Demokrate, 44% Republikanci.
Florida j ebilo 46.6% - 46.1%
Michigan je bilo 40.7% - 38.8%.
Itd.
. Ona ako izgubi to sto si naveo bi bas moglo biti jedan od glavnih faktora.