Stefan Korshak o aktuelnim dešavanjima i srednjoročnim implikacijama...
https://stefankorshak.substack.com/p/oc ... hey-really
U vezi trenutne situacije u i oko Avdiivke:
The way it looks to me, over the past three weeks, the Russians have thrown away something like 2–4 brigades of trained, regular army troops, against the very strongest Ukrainian fortifications on the entire front, for very close to zero results. Or, something like 200 combat vehicles destroyed and not recoverable, and 1000–1500 men killed or severely wounded.
The last 2–3 weeks of fighting at Avdiivka are a serious battlefield defeat and the worst probably suffered by the Russians in the entire war since they tried to force crossings on the Siviersky Donets River in May 2022
O motivima za ovu akciju:
Everything we have seen from the Russian military leadership so far, makes more than likely that a major driver of these attacks and everything they involved — their assumptions, conception, task organization, and execution — was simply that generals several levels of the chain of command above the soldiers actually going out under the Ukrainian artillery fire, concluded they had to try something to show Putin the army has the initiative and is attacking in Ukraine. Soldier lives and fighting capacity in the future were, in the judgement of those Russian military leaders, I am guessing, far less important.
O implikacijama neuračunljivosti i gluposti ruskog vojnog i državnog vrha:
I’ll leave it to others to decide what other states starting with Ukraine should do to deal with the, as I see it, dysfunctional inertia of the Russian military-industrial complex. It’s certainly not good news — even a stupidly-run army the size of the Russians’ could, unless it cracks internally, take years to break on the battlefield.