Popasna….the RFA, Wagner and Separatists there run out of steam. Word is that many of about 12–15 BTGs within the bulge are down to 200–250 troops, and about a dozen of operational vehicles — and that generals are trying to force them to continue attacking, and that at gun point. Now, some might be refusing, but the mass is not: yesterday, they were trying to recover Komyshuvakha from elements of the 118th TD Brigade. Outcome unclear.
Talking about the 118th TD Brigade: seems, Ukrainian nowadays operate so that they move in one of regular units, repel Russian attack or take some place; then withdraw the regulars and replace them with Territorial Defence troops. Might sound unfair to the TD-troops, but is actually a very good idea: is enabling local commanders to retain at least some reserve.
Bakhmut…well, no way to advance on Bakhmut when the Wagners were re-shuffled back north to Severodonetsk. Result: same positions as reached two days ago — and, meanwhile it’s hard to advance because, according to Russians, the entire frontline from Komyshuvakha in the north down to multiple points in Horlivka and Donbas are under vicious fire of NATO-supplied Ukrainian artillery. This is including much of the Popasna Bulge. The photo below is shown what’s left of the 76th VDV after this was worked over by artillery of the 80th Airborne Assault Brigade.
Putin has ordered all the possible reinforcements to Severodonetsk and Avdiivka. These are including at least three BTGs and one artillery battalion from the 58th CAA in the south, plus several trains loaded by T-72s and T-80s. Interestingly, most are passing Rostov-na-Donu on the way to Melitopol…
Avidiivka…is still holding out, regardless how heavily shelled or hit from the air: indeed, the Russian attempt to flank the town by assaulting Novobakhmutivka and Vesele, north of Avdiivka…. well, didn’t get very far. Russians are reinforcing their artillery in that area — for example by Tyulipan self-propelled mortars.
SOUTH
The Ukrainian ‘counteroffensive on Kherson’…. think I’m revealing no big secret if I say that to me this appears to be a ‘perfect diversionary operation’. Thanks to the NATO-support, the Ukrainian GenStab knows perfectly that it’s striking straight into the biggest concentration of RFA troops (and all the possible ‘allies’) in this part of Ukraine — and that there are few other, ‘better directions’ they could hit, somewhere else in the South. But, it’s still doing this, and then with some early success, too.
The reason is that even if BTGs of the 49th CAA are badly overstretched (mind: average BTG, when at full strength, is expected to defend a frontline of about 7–8km: those of the 49th CAA have to defend frontlines of 20–25 kilometres) — that Russian army still has plenty of manpower and two completed defensive lines around Kherson. The third is still under construction… Nevertheless, the troops of Ukrainian 60th and 63rd Brigades did well the last two days. As first, after securing Davydiv Brid, they feinted a push in southern direction while turning east, to hit the Russian frontline between Bila Krynytsia and Novohryhorivka in the back and collapse it. That way, that penetration of the frontline is now as deep as it is wide. But, further advance seems to have been brought to a halt between Sukhyi Stavok and Bruskynske.
The second axis of attack is in the Snihurivka area. Why attacking frontally there… no idea, but it’s not a good area to do so. Unsurprisingly, the Russiian garrison is still holding out.
Now mind: except for liberation of Davydiv Brid, there’s no visual evidence for anything of this. That said, developments in the Davydiv Brid and in the Snihurivka area are known to have been enough to crack the nerves of the RFA garrison in Mykolaivka, further north, and prompt it into a panicky withdrawal.
One way or the other, I wouldn’t be surprised if the HQ 49th CAA is rushing all available forces in that direction — and calling for help from Moscow, too. Meanwhile, the RFA and VKS are ‘hitting back’ — by air strikes and artillery barrages directed at almost every bigger village on the Ukrainian side of the frontline, all the way from Posad-Pokrovske in the south up to Novovorontsovka in the north. No idea what kind of purpose should that serve, but then: nobody said the Russians must fight in a clever fashion or stop squandering their resources…
) nafta ni gdje je kupio (dobio). Uglavnom to je cijena koju covjek placa ponekad za neko bolje sutra a bogami sada puno bolje izgleda nego 94-ta. Sto se tice ovih nasih malih rusa e ovaj puta bi to bio puno veci razvaljitis nasih carsija , divi Mariupolj e pa gledaj Rajvosa sada tako bi nam izgledala mahala da se ovih katila pusti sa lanca. A Svabo bi presretan da ono naseg malo jada nahrli u slobodnu Njemacku, takva radna snaga je najbolja, raspamecena, izgubljena, bez doma, bez nade. Takvi samo rade i ne talasaju a starohani njemacki bi imali predane Bosance za pranje guzara i ciscenje pelena. Iz ove perspektive mi je najdraze sad vidjeti kako se Svabo koprca u svojim lazima i tako im treba ovo im je pocetak novog doba a za Putka on je vidio kako mu je drug Muamer otisao na onaj svijet, jos mu je ta slika u vugla a kao sto vidimo Libijci uzivaju u kao nikad dosad. E to ceka Rusiju moj mohikanac i one koji ih podrzavaju, trebace vremena i Muamer se konfrcio decenijama i onda ode stoljpi u pakas. Nek Ukrajina pobijedi a ja cu sa osmjehom sipati gorivo pa nek kosta sta kosta a kad dodje do 80 eura onda cu uzeti samo 2 litra. Slava Ukrajini, Slava hrabrim braniteljima.
JeBitočno
