Pisem magistarski iz politickih nauka na temu-Europska Unija i ideja o jedinstvenoj valuti-. Da li vi mislite da je Euro dobar ili los za Europu i za Europljanine? Argumenti za i protiv Eura...
Zelio bih da cujem i vase misljenje jer mi trebaju par razlicitih interpretacija.
Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
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boucheron
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paratrooper
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#2 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Nije lako posmatrat statisticka ekonomska kretanja ( pretpostavljam da je to efekat eura, koji te zanima ).
Interpretacija ekonomskih efekata je uvijek problem jer zahtjeva dobro poznavanje bankarskog sistema i onih koji stoje iza njega. Bankarski sistem je u svojoj dubini pokriven sa mnogo nepoznanica i tajni, ipak u nacelu, i u modernom (zapadnom) drustvu ima zadatak da cjelovito stabilizira politicko-finansijske prilike.
Sinergija valuta postize bolje efekte od efekta zbira pojedinacnih valuta, naravno kada postoji konsenzus i kada su politicko-ekonomski odnosi transparentni.
sa srecom
Interpretacija ekonomskih efekata je uvijek problem jer zahtjeva dobro poznavanje bankarskog sistema i onih koji stoje iza njega. Bankarski sistem je u svojoj dubini pokriven sa mnogo nepoznanica i tajni, ipak u nacelu, i u modernom (zapadnom) drustvu ima zadatak da cjelovito stabilizira politicko-finansijske prilike.
Sinergija valuta postize bolje efekte od efekta zbira pojedinacnih valuta, naravno kada postoji konsenzus i kada su politicko-ekonomski odnosi transparentni.
sa srecom
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pitt
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#3 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Evo imas ovdje dobar osvrt na euro
Charlemagne
Danger ahead for the mighty euro
Apr 10th 2008
From The Economist print edition
Euro-zone economies face external woes and internal tensions
AT THE World Economic Forum in Davos in January 2001, the mood was sombre. The dotcom bubble had burst spectacularly, the Nasdaq stockmarket had crashed, and the American economy was tipping into recession. Yet most continental Europeans were breezily optimistic. The long years of being lectured about their inadequacies by the Anglo-Saxons were over. Europe had wisely skipped the dotcom mania, and its new currency, the euro, was giving the continent a boost. Some Europeans even dreamed of taking over as the motor of the world economy. But it was not to be, as Europe promptly fell into a deeper recession even than America.
Seven years on, the parallels are uncanny. Continental Europe has sensibly avoided America's subprime follies, it is argued. Its banks are in better shape, average euro-area unemployment of 7.1% is the lowest in almost 20 years, the euro is resurgent and, as Joaquín Almunia, the engaging European economics commissioner, insists, there is no sign of a recession. The commission will trim its forecasts later this month, but euro-area growth is likely to stay close to 2% this year. It is true that the European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt has, like America's Federal Reserve, flooded the financial system with liquidity in response to the credit crunch. But unlike the Fed, it has not so far felt the need to bring down interest rates.
Just as in 2001, however, the outlook for the euro area seems to be deteriorating a lot faster than the optimists had expected. After all, the main reason that the ECB has been reluctant to cut rates is not because growth is so robust but because inflation has picked up to 3.5%—the highest in the euro's nine-year existence. Troubles in the region's two biggest export markets—recession in America and slowdown in Britain—are starting to bite. Exports to Asia have been strong, especially from Germany, but in most countries nervous consumers remain reluctant to spend.
And two bigger worries have emerged. The first is the strength of the euro. A weaker dollar is driving an American export boom; a stronger euro is likely to have the opposite effect in Europe. Mr Almunia says the euro is “overvalued” and adds that, although the impact has been moderate so far, “we are at the limits, if not beyond them.” It is a delusion to suppose that euro-area exports can continue to barrel on regardless of their cost.
The second worry is the housing market. Europe may have avoided the American subprime mess, but in several countries house prices have been even bubblier than in America. They are already falling in Spain and Ireland, and, beyond the euro zone, are starting to do so in Britain. A property bust may not produce an American-style mortgage meltdown, but it will surely topple economies heavily dependent on construction (which accounts for 15% or more of Spanish and Irish GDP, for example).
Indeed, Mr Almunia's home country of Spain appears especially vulnerable. He maintains that Anglo-Saxon commentators are excessively pessimistic about Spain's prospects. But the signs of a sharp slowdown are clear even to the re-elected prime minister, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, who has announced a fiscal stimulus to help Spain weather the “turbulence”. Given that Spain has in recent years accounted for a big chunk of euro-zone growth and close to half of all jobs created in the euro area, its slowdown will be widely felt. And not just in economics. It will be a lot harder to sell the EU's ambitious plans to cut CO2 emissions in a faltering economy, for instance.
The political fallout will be felt in other ways too, because of the differential performance of euro-area economies. Mr Almunia admits that France and Italy are a lot weaker than Germany; soon enough, French and Italian leaders (especially if Silvio Berlusconi wins Italy's imminent election) will squeal ever more loudly about the euro's strength, the ECB's rigid monetary policy and, quite possibly, will demand that their industries be protected from “unfair” competition. Such pressure will be resisted by the Germans, who remain comfortable with the euro's strength and always hate criticism of the ECB.
The dark face of success
Even critics of the euro would concede that it has had considerable success, establishing itself in less than a decade as a genuine rival to the dollar as a world currency. But that success disguises two failings. The first is that some countries have adapted a lot better to the discipline of the euro than others. Germany and the Netherlands have cut labour costs and introduced enough reforms to make their economies more competitive. France, Spain and especially Italy have done less—and are suffering more, from both the euro's rise and the global slowdown.
The second failing is an ironic flipside of success. To qualify for the euro in the late 1990s, countries such as Italy and Spain had to make swingeing fiscal and structural adjustments. Yet by shielding weaker countries from a currency crisis, the euro now relieves much of the pressure on them to keep up reforms. In fact, these are more essential than ever now that countries have lost the option of devaluing their currencies to regain competitiveness and offset relatively slow productivity growth. As Mr Almunia sadly concedes, it has proved impossible “to compensate for the lack of market incentives for reform through policy co-ordination and peer pressure”.
In truth, as the euro approaches its tenth birthday celebrations, it is facing the biggest test of its short life. If Europe follows America into recession, which is quite possible, the pain will be a lot greater in the Mediterranean countries than in Germany and northern Europe. Not surprisingly, the political response from the two regions will also be quite different. Even as it prepares to expand once more to take in Slovakia and later other countries from eastern Europe, the euro is about to show the world that it is not yet an optimal currency area—and the demonstration may not be a pretty one.
Charlemagne
Danger ahead for the mighty euro
Apr 10th 2008
From The Economist print edition
Euro-zone economies face external woes and internal tensions
AT THE World Economic Forum in Davos in January 2001, the mood was sombre. The dotcom bubble had burst spectacularly, the Nasdaq stockmarket had crashed, and the American economy was tipping into recession. Yet most continental Europeans were breezily optimistic. The long years of being lectured about their inadequacies by the Anglo-Saxons were over. Europe had wisely skipped the dotcom mania, and its new currency, the euro, was giving the continent a boost. Some Europeans even dreamed of taking over as the motor of the world economy. But it was not to be, as Europe promptly fell into a deeper recession even than America.
Seven years on, the parallels are uncanny. Continental Europe has sensibly avoided America's subprime follies, it is argued. Its banks are in better shape, average euro-area unemployment of 7.1% is the lowest in almost 20 years, the euro is resurgent and, as Joaquín Almunia, the engaging European economics commissioner, insists, there is no sign of a recession. The commission will trim its forecasts later this month, but euro-area growth is likely to stay close to 2% this year. It is true that the European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt has, like America's Federal Reserve, flooded the financial system with liquidity in response to the credit crunch. But unlike the Fed, it has not so far felt the need to bring down interest rates.
Just as in 2001, however, the outlook for the euro area seems to be deteriorating a lot faster than the optimists had expected. After all, the main reason that the ECB has been reluctant to cut rates is not because growth is so robust but because inflation has picked up to 3.5%—the highest in the euro's nine-year existence. Troubles in the region's two biggest export markets—recession in America and slowdown in Britain—are starting to bite. Exports to Asia have been strong, especially from Germany, but in most countries nervous consumers remain reluctant to spend.
And two bigger worries have emerged. The first is the strength of the euro. A weaker dollar is driving an American export boom; a stronger euro is likely to have the opposite effect in Europe. Mr Almunia says the euro is “overvalued” and adds that, although the impact has been moderate so far, “we are at the limits, if not beyond them.” It is a delusion to suppose that euro-area exports can continue to barrel on regardless of their cost.
The second worry is the housing market. Europe may have avoided the American subprime mess, but in several countries house prices have been even bubblier than in America. They are already falling in Spain and Ireland, and, beyond the euro zone, are starting to do so in Britain. A property bust may not produce an American-style mortgage meltdown, but it will surely topple economies heavily dependent on construction (which accounts for 15% or more of Spanish and Irish GDP, for example).
Indeed, Mr Almunia's home country of Spain appears especially vulnerable. He maintains that Anglo-Saxon commentators are excessively pessimistic about Spain's prospects. But the signs of a sharp slowdown are clear even to the re-elected prime minister, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, who has announced a fiscal stimulus to help Spain weather the “turbulence”. Given that Spain has in recent years accounted for a big chunk of euro-zone growth and close to half of all jobs created in the euro area, its slowdown will be widely felt. And not just in economics. It will be a lot harder to sell the EU's ambitious plans to cut CO2 emissions in a faltering economy, for instance.
The political fallout will be felt in other ways too, because of the differential performance of euro-area economies. Mr Almunia admits that France and Italy are a lot weaker than Germany; soon enough, French and Italian leaders (especially if Silvio Berlusconi wins Italy's imminent election) will squeal ever more loudly about the euro's strength, the ECB's rigid monetary policy and, quite possibly, will demand that their industries be protected from “unfair” competition. Such pressure will be resisted by the Germans, who remain comfortable with the euro's strength and always hate criticism of the ECB.
The dark face of success
Even critics of the euro would concede that it has had considerable success, establishing itself in less than a decade as a genuine rival to the dollar as a world currency. But that success disguises two failings. The first is that some countries have adapted a lot better to the discipline of the euro than others. Germany and the Netherlands have cut labour costs and introduced enough reforms to make their economies more competitive. France, Spain and especially Italy have done less—and are suffering more, from both the euro's rise and the global slowdown.
The second failing is an ironic flipside of success. To qualify for the euro in the late 1990s, countries such as Italy and Spain had to make swingeing fiscal and structural adjustments. Yet by shielding weaker countries from a currency crisis, the euro now relieves much of the pressure on them to keep up reforms. In fact, these are more essential than ever now that countries have lost the option of devaluing their currencies to regain competitiveness and offset relatively slow productivity growth. As Mr Almunia sadly concedes, it has proved impossible “to compensate for the lack of market incentives for reform through policy co-ordination and peer pressure”.
In truth, as the euro approaches its tenth birthday celebrations, it is facing the biggest test of its short life. If Europe follows America into recession, which is quite possible, the pain will be a lot greater in the Mediterranean countries than in Germany and northern Europe. Not surprisingly, the political response from the two regions will also be quite different. Even as it prepares to expand once more to take in Slovakia and later other countries from eastern Europe, the euro is about to show the world that it is not yet an optimal currency area—and the demonstration may not be a pretty one.
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The Nightwatchman
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#4 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
i ti ces biti magistar....boucheron wrote:Pisem magistarski iz politickih nauka na temu-Europska Unija i ideja o jedinstvenoj valuti-. Da li vi mislite da je Euro dobar ili los za Europu i za Europljanine? Argumenti za i protiv Eura...
Zelio bih da cujem i vase misljenje jer mi trebaju par razlicitih interpretacija.
blago nama
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Cryptoman
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- Joined: 06/08/2005 10:24
- Contact:
#5 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
sinko, zar se po forumu skupljaju misljenja koja ces iznositi u magistarskom??
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pitt
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#6 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
shuti bilo ih je sto traze citav diplomski uradjenCryptoman wrote:sinko, zar se po forumu skupljaju misljenja koja ces iznositi u magistarskom??
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callmethebreeeze
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#7 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
mozes li malo suziti tu temu, ziv bio. doktorat da pises, bila bi ti presiroka.boucheron wrote:Pisem magistarski iz politickih nauka na temu-Europska Unija i ideja o jedinstvenoj valuti-. Da li vi mislite da je Euro dobar ili los za Europu i za Europljanine? Argumenti za i protiv Eura...
Zelio bih da cujem i vase misljenje jer mi trebaju par razlicitih interpretacija.
licno sam za euro. slabo brate racunam, pa kad moram tudje valute prevoditi zamanta mi se.
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pitt
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#8 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
kakav si ti onda dzonsa :D zar nisi praxu imao ispred evrope?
:D zar nisi praxu imao ispred evrope? -
boucheron
- Posts: 110
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#9 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Hvala da "dobronamjernim"odgovorima.Pitt,hvala na The Economist clanku.Za misljenje je samo dobronamjerno napisano posto vidim da na ovome forumu nema pametnije nacije i svi sve znaju pa sam mislio da me malo prosvijtle.Ali hvala jos jednom na pomoci, i po tko zna koji put na greskama se uci.
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pitt
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#10 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
pusti ba zajebanciju......sretno sa magistarskim 
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Ergot
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#11 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Ti si moj omiljeni budući magistar političkih nauka.boucheron wrote:Hvala da "dobronamjernim"odgovorima.Pitt,hvala na The Economist clanku.Za misljenje je samo dobronamjerno napisano posto vidim da na ovome forumu nema pametnije nacije i svi sve znaju pa sam mislio da me malo prosvijtle.Ali hvala jos jednom na pomoci, i po tko zna koji put na greskama se uci.
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WizzardFromBOZ
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#12 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
dobar je on kakvih mi doktora imamo.The Nightwatchman wrote:i ti ces biti magistar....boucheron wrote:Pisem magistarski iz politickih nauka na temu-Europska Unija i ideja o jedinstvenoj valuti-. Da li vi mislite da je Euro dobar ili los za Europu i za Europljanine? Argumenti za i protiv Eura...
Zelio bih da cujem i vase misljenje jer mi trebaju par razlicitih interpretacija.
blago nama
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Chairman
- Posts: 277
- Joined: 20/03/2008 17:09
#13 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Hajd ne serite! Niko vam ne valja.
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boucheron
- Posts: 110
- Joined: 20/10/2003 00:00
#14 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
S obzirom da te ne znam, toliko sam sretan sto te necu upoznati...Ergot wrote:Ti si moj omiljeni budući magistar političkih nauka.boucheron wrote:Hvala da "dobronamjernim"odgovorima.Pitt,hvala na The Economist clanku.Za misljenje je samo dobronamjerno napisano posto vidim da na ovome forumu nema pametnije nacije i svi sve znaju pa sam mislio da me malo prosvijtle.Ali hvala jos jednom na pomoci, i po tko zna koji put na greskama se uci.
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Ilija_Cvorovic
- Posts: 153
- Joined: 25/12/2006 22:08
#15 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Kako si samo jadan kao i te tvoje politicke nauke. Kupi bolan knjiga pa odatle skontaj.
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Rambo-Amadeus
- Posts: 1157
- Joined: 12/12/2006 23:38
#16 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Slabo ces ovdje naci odgovore koji te interesuju, pogotovu opsirnije, pa ti je najbolje naci odgovarajucu literaturu. Ako vec slucajno nisi nabavio, preporucujem ti knjigu prof. dr. Dragoljuba Stojanova "Međunarodne finansije", imas je u Bezistanu u kopirnici, imas u njoj jedan dio u EU i Euru, pa vidi, a moguce je da ima jos kakve literature na tu temu! Sretno s radom!
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fantom slobode
- Posts: 9023
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#17 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Probaj dogovoriti sastanak sa ljudima iz institucija koji se bave evropskim integracijama ili koji su dio pregovaracke misije BiH sa EU, aktiviraj se i porazgovaraj sa ljudima iz misije evropske komisije u BiH, imas raznih mogucnosti, neka ti oni predloze literaturu i daju svoj komentar na temu.Ovdje mozes eventualno samo dobiti kakav google link, a to mozes i sam.
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moon78
- Posts: 48
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#18 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Iako ovo nije oblast kojom se bavim, evo nekoliko linkova, mozda moze pomoci:
Glyn Davies: A History of Money: From Ancient Times to Present Day (2003):
http://rapidshare.com/files/25822314/A_ ... y_muya.rar
------------------------
European Fixed Income Markets (2004):
http://w13.easy-share.com/1186031.html
http://depositfiles.com/files/999596
http://rapidshare.com/files/36395425/0470850531.rar
---------------------------
The Euro and Its Central Bank: Getting United after the Union (ISBN: 0262162229):
http://depositfiles.com/files/1999535
Glyn Davies: A History of Money: From Ancient Times to Present Day (2003):
http://rapidshare.com/files/25822314/A_ ... y_muya.rar
------------------------
European Fixed Income Markets (2004):
http://w13.easy-share.com/1186031.html
http://depositfiles.com/files/999596
http://rapidshare.com/files/36395425/0470850531.rar
---------------------------
The Euro and Its Central Bank: Getting United after the Union (ISBN: 0262162229):
http://depositfiles.com/files/1999535
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Lesli Eldridž
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#19 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Ako Evropska unija propadne, propade i tvoj magistarski.boucheron wrote:Pisem magistarski iz politickih nauka na temu-Europska Unija i ideja o jedinstvenoj valuti-. Da li vi mislite da je Euro dobar ili los za Europu i za Europljanine? Argumenti za i protiv Eura...
Zelio bih da cujem i vase misljenje jer mi trebaju par razlicitih interpretacija.
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boucheron
- Posts: 110
- Joined: 20/10/2003 00:00
#20 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Hvala na odgovorima.
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ludacha
- Posts: 710
- Joined: 10/04/2003 00:00
#21 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
ma sta ce bosanac znat` jel valja euro za europljanine ili ne...jedino da zivi u eu...ama valjda se mora biti tamo, vidjeti, zivjeti, pa tek onda laprdat`
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Rambo-Amadeus
- Posts: 1157
- Joined: 12/12/2006 23:38
#22 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
mora da je tako kad ti to "ludacha" kaze...ludacha wrote:ma sta ce bosanac znat` jel valja euro za europljanine ili ne...jedino da zivi u eu...ama valjda se mora biti tamo, vidjeti, zivjeti, pa tek onda laprdat`
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Citizen-X
- Posts: 1533
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#23 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Primijetio sam "grdo" osuda na racun ovog momka koji pise magistarski. Bez ikakve potrebe zajedno sa ismijevanjem za nesto sto i ne postoji.
Naime, citajuci pojedine (poprilicno nebulozne) komentare, vratio sam se da procitam njegov prvi post gore jos jednom gdje ni na jednom mjestu nije specificirano DA MU TREBA POMOC ZA MAGISTARSKI - odnosno momak-lik-covjek je trazio samo da cuje misljenje.
Misljenja sam da je ocito izabrao pogresno mjesto - iako se nadao da ce mu forum sa nekoliko hiljada clanova ponuditi neka zanimljiva misljenja obzirom da se radi o valuti Euro kao jednom ekonomskom fenomenu-pojavi.
Nazalost ni sam nisam mogao naci suvisao komentar o tome iako je tema zaista interesantna. I sam sam - iako ne pisuci magistarski - razmisljao na temu Eura - odnosno - zasto je standard u poprilicno bogatim evropskim drzavama drasticno pao sa prelaskom lokalnih moneta na euro. Primjer za to su Italija, Holandija, Njemacka, Austrija, Francuska itd. itd. (volio bih da jos neko da obol ovome).
Obzirom da ja nisam monetarni strucnjak, ne smatram se dovoljno kompetentnim da dam strucno misljenje ali cu ponuditi svoje laicko o tome koje sam stekao iz razgovora sa stanovnicima EU-a Francuske, Holandije, Njemacke i reci da sa prelaskom sa lokalne monete franka, schillinga, lire, i za nas vrlo bitne - DEM-a.
Ono sto su mi stanovnici dakle srednjestaleski ljudi potvrdili iz razgovora je primijeceno zaokrugljivanje cijena, citaj poskupljenje istih, nakon prelaska na Euro.
To je u praksi znacilo da je parking od 1 DEM - poceo da kosta 1€ iako je, kao sto i sami znamo 1€ otprilike 1,95DEM po varijabli promjene iz vremena tranzicije (a i danas aktuelne jer je diktiran kurs od Currency Boarda - koji i kontrolise kurs BAM-a).
Slicni primjeri su primijeceni i na ostalim stvarima - tako da su bez nekog posebnog logickog objasnjenja (bar sa moje strane) - cijene povecane - iako je Euro izuzetno jaka valuta (dakle trebalo bi da pruza mnogo za svoju vrijednost).
Druga stvar koja se desila - je fenomen kako bih ga ja nazvao "prelijevanja" vrijednosti iz jedne u drugu zemlju. To u praksi znaci da sto je bilo jeftino u jednoj zemlji u odnosu na drugu (ako uzmemo u obzir da su obje primile Euro) je da neovisno je li jedna bogatija odnosno druga siromasnija - dolazi do ujednacavanja cijena artikla-robe na stetu - slabije razvijene ekonomije (ociti primjer Slovenije). Ovome bih pridodao primjer Svedske koja jos uvijek (barem koliko je meni poznato) ne popusta ili je dugo odolijevala prijemu Eura kao plateznog sredstva upravo iz straha od tektonskih poremecaja izazvanih sokom "euro-cijena".
BAM fenomen i bosanska ekonomija
Godine stagnacije BH privrede koje svi mozemo primijetiti od perioda 1998-99 (interesantno je da je BH privreda imala bolji zamah i atmosferu u godinama nakon rata), mozemo komotno pripisati posljedici prelijevanja vrijednosti - s tim da je u BIH se desio fenomen prelijevanja vrijednosti DEM-a u koordinaciji sa EUR-om nakon uvodjenja (zanimljivo je da je drastican pad standarda zivota u BIH zabiljezen sa pojavom EUR-a).
Naravno - ovo je samo moje skromno i laicko misljenje koje i ne mora biti relevantno.
Pozdrav i sretno sa magistarskim.
Naime, citajuci pojedine (poprilicno nebulozne) komentare, vratio sam se da procitam njegov prvi post gore jos jednom gdje ni na jednom mjestu nije specificirano DA MU TREBA POMOC ZA MAGISTARSKI - odnosno momak-lik-covjek je trazio samo da cuje misljenje.
Misljenja sam da je ocito izabrao pogresno mjesto - iako se nadao da ce mu forum sa nekoliko hiljada clanova ponuditi neka zanimljiva misljenja obzirom da se radi o valuti Euro kao jednom ekonomskom fenomenu-pojavi.
Nazalost ni sam nisam mogao naci suvisao komentar o tome iako je tema zaista interesantna. I sam sam - iako ne pisuci magistarski - razmisljao na temu Eura - odnosno - zasto je standard u poprilicno bogatim evropskim drzavama drasticno pao sa prelaskom lokalnih moneta na euro. Primjer za to su Italija, Holandija, Njemacka, Austrija, Francuska itd. itd. (volio bih da jos neko da obol ovome).
Obzirom da ja nisam monetarni strucnjak, ne smatram se dovoljno kompetentnim da dam strucno misljenje ali cu ponuditi svoje laicko o tome koje sam stekao iz razgovora sa stanovnicima EU-a Francuske, Holandije, Njemacke i reci da sa prelaskom sa lokalne monete franka, schillinga, lire, i za nas vrlo bitne - DEM-a.
Ono sto su mi stanovnici dakle srednjestaleski ljudi potvrdili iz razgovora je primijeceno zaokrugljivanje cijena, citaj poskupljenje istih, nakon prelaska na Euro.
To je u praksi znacilo da je parking od 1 DEM - poceo da kosta 1€ iako je, kao sto i sami znamo 1€ otprilike 1,95DEM po varijabli promjene iz vremena tranzicije (a i danas aktuelne jer je diktiran kurs od Currency Boarda - koji i kontrolise kurs BAM-a).
Slicni primjeri su primijeceni i na ostalim stvarima - tako da su bez nekog posebnog logickog objasnjenja (bar sa moje strane) - cijene povecane - iako je Euro izuzetno jaka valuta (dakle trebalo bi da pruza mnogo za svoju vrijednost).
Druga stvar koja se desila - je fenomen kako bih ga ja nazvao "prelijevanja" vrijednosti iz jedne u drugu zemlju. To u praksi znaci da sto je bilo jeftino u jednoj zemlji u odnosu na drugu (ako uzmemo u obzir da su obje primile Euro) je da neovisno je li jedna bogatija odnosno druga siromasnija - dolazi do ujednacavanja cijena artikla-robe na stetu - slabije razvijene ekonomije (ociti primjer Slovenije). Ovome bih pridodao primjer Svedske koja jos uvijek (barem koliko je meni poznato) ne popusta ili je dugo odolijevala prijemu Eura kao plateznog sredstva upravo iz straha od tektonskih poremecaja izazvanih sokom "euro-cijena".
BAM fenomen i bosanska ekonomija
Godine stagnacije BH privrede koje svi mozemo primijetiti od perioda 1998-99 (interesantno je da je BH privreda imala bolji zamah i atmosferu u godinama nakon rata), mozemo komotno pripisati posljedici prelijevanja vrijednosti - s tim da je u BIH se desio fenomen prelijevanja vrijednosti DEM-a u koordinaciji sa EUR-om nakon uvodjenja (zanimljivo je da je drastican pad standarda zivota u BIH zabiljezen sa pojavom EUR-a).
Naravno - ovo je samo moje skromno i laicko misljenje koje i ne mora biti relevantno.
Pozdrav i sretno sa magistarskim.
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paratrooper
- Posts: 713
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#24 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
e bilo bi ti nesto da nisi komentarisaoIlija_Cvorovic wrote:Kako si samo jadan kao i te tvoje politicke nauke. Kupi bolan knjiga pa odatle skontaj.
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Comrad
- Posts: 4326
- Joined: 17/04/2007 12:40
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#25 Re: Magistarski o Europskoj jedinstvenoj valuti Euro
Moj prijedlog ti je da odes do biblioteke na Ekonomiji, tu imas dosta knijiga i casopisa koji ti mogu pomoci na tu temu. Samo ne znam da li ces uspjeti uci, ali valjda se mognes dogovoriti sa onim sto rade u biblioteci. 