Malo sam se udubio u rast Turske ekonomije. Izgleda da je Centralna Banka Republike Turske rast od 9% smanjila na 2% zato sto je svijetska banka nekoliko puta upozorila Tursku da ce ekonomija "pregoriti" ukoliko se ne uspori rast. Kina je slicna upozorenja negirala.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142 ... 67468.htmlThe steep drop in economic activity was largely engineered by Turkey's central bank, which dramatically tightened policy after Turkey's breakneck expansion averaging 9% in 2010-2011 spurred investor fears that the economy was overheating.
Sto znaci da kapacitt Turske jeste prisutan da i danas ostvariva rast od 8 ili 9% godisnje. Neki ministri u Turskoj imaju kritike na te poteze centralne banke.
Sve u svemu; vrlo je bitno da je pad sa 9% na 2,6% rezultat Turske volje. Sto znaci da mozemo ocekivati kada se Turska ekonomija malo "ohladi" ponovno popustanje centralne banke kako bi ekonomija opet dostigla veliki rast. Ovo je nesto sto ja nisam znao. Dok se nisam udubio; mislio sam da je pad rasta Turske ekonomije rezultat kolapsa nekih EU zemalja. No to ocito nije slucaj.Some ministers in Turkey's government, however, have accused central bank Gov. Erdem Basci of grinding domestic demand to a halt and choking growth with a policy out of step with global risk appetite. Economy Minister Zafer Caglayan, Turkey's most vocal advocate of loose policy to spur growth, used Monday's figures to take another swipe at the central bank.
."Unfortunately, one part of growth was missing. I believe that domestic demand needs to support growth as much as external demand… This growth figure shows that we stepped on the brakes too much," he said.
Kina; iako su ih razne organizacije svjetske upozorivale da bi im ekonomij amogla pregoriti "overheating" i dalje dopusta taj veliki ekonomski rast. Turska je znaci izabrala drugu strategiju nisam dovoljno kompoetentan naravno da pricam o tome sto je zaista ispravno.
Ono zbog cega mi je drago je to da ta ekonomija Turske ima kapacitete da postane jedna od vodecih ekonomija u evropi. Dovoljno je da ostvarivaju rast od 9% 2 od 5 godina da bi vec stigli neke zapadno evropske zemlje do 2025.
Demografija
Stp se tice Demografije Turci su najmladji narod u evropi koji imaju najveci prirodni prirastaj. Tako se do 2030. ocekuje da ce Turska imati 90 miliona stanovnika.
EXPLANATIONS
Population projections for 2013 and after were made by cohort-component method. Cohort-component method is based on lifelong monitoring of the cohorts that are at the same age. The cohorts are annual birth cohorts (age-cohorts). The components are births, deaths and migration.
Unestimated changes in population may cause differentiation from the real population size. Population projections are revised due to new demographic trends, when various radical changes are determined.
The population figures of these projections differ from the older ones, about being produced as end-of-the-year values, targeting to be comparable with the results of Address Based Population Registration System.
Alternative projection scenarios, that allow to observe the different aspects for future of the population size and pattern, have been produced to make awareness about ageing of population, fertility and decline of fertility, which are recent public discussion topics.
“World Population Prospects, 2010 Revision” publication of The United Nations was used to make comparisons with the other countries. Population projections of such countries and official projections of TURKSTAT, which were made for Turkey, were compared to provide information about the place of population of Turkey in the world. The outputs of basic scenario (Scenario 1) were used for those comparisons.
“PADIS-Int” software, which was produced by China National Population and Family Planning Commission (NPFPC) was used for designing and making projections.



