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Mitchell Tsai
Virus researcher at Harvard Medical School in 1980s16h ago

Notes:
(1) Pfizer in Mar 2021 claimed its vaccine was 91.3% effective for six months (in their phase 3 trial). The 91.3% was obtained by averaging efficacy over the entire six months.

(2) Peak efficacy in the phase 3 trial was 96% (Some Israel data saw 97–98% efficacy around month 2).

(3) By looking at Pfizer information from Nov 2020 and Mar 2021, it was possible to calculate the average month 3–6 efficacy as 90%, however Pfizer released very limited information in Mar 2021.

(4) But it was impossible to see what month 5 and month 6 efficacy were.

(5) Pfizer (on July 9 or earlier) said efficacy drops to “mid-80s after six months.” Due to ambiguity this may refer to month 6, month 7, the last week of month 6, or ????

My guess is 83–85%, since if efficacy were 86%, Pfizer probably would have said “over 85%” or “high-80s”.

(6) Note: “mid-80s after six months” DOES NOT include loss of effectiveness due to Delta. Phase 3 trials people were vaccinated around July 2020 - August 2020, so six months may be Jan 2021 - Mar 2021 (depending on how whether it was six months after the 1st shot or 2nd shot or “14+ days after 2nd shot”), before Delta was common.

(7) Israel said 64% effectiveness (versus 90–95% Delta) and most of the cases were in people vaccinated early in Jan 2021 - Feb 2021.

(8) Speculation: Since the 64% is an average of people vaccinated early and late. Early vaccinated people may have already dropped to 30–50% effectiveness due to
(A) 5–6 month vaccine fade
(B) Delta

(9) Pfizer said their internal data was consistent with the Israel 64% number, showing
(A) a further decline in effectiveness after 6 months
(B) especially with old people
Scientists and politicians were frustrated with Pfizer though for not releasing any details to the public (either top-level summary numbers, or more detailed data).

daddy-kool wrote: ↑15/07/2021 17:43

Mitchell Tsai
Virus researcher at Harvard Medical School in 1980s16h ago

Notes:
(1) Pfizer in Mar 2021 claimed its vaccine was 91.3% effective for six months (in their phase 3 trial). The 91.3% was obtained by averaging efficacy over the entire six months.

(2) Peak efficacy in the phase 3 trial was 96% (Some Israel data saw 97–98% efficacy around month 2).

(3) By looking at Pfizer information from Nov 2020 and Mar 2021, it was possible to calculate the average month 3–6 efficacy as 90%, however Pfizer released very limited information in Mar 2021.

(4) But it was impossible to see what month 5 and month 6 efficacy were.

(5) Pfizer (on July 9 or earlier) said efficacy drops to “mid-80s after six months.” Due to ambiguity this may refer to month 6, month 7, the last week of month 6, or ????

My guess is 83–85%, since if efficacy were 86%, Pfizer probably would have said “over 85%” or “high-80s”.

(6) Note: “mid-80s after six months” DOES NOT include loss of effectiveness due to Delta. Phase 3 trials people were vaccinated around July 2020 - August 2020, so six months may be Jan 2021 - Mar 2021 (depending on how whether it was six months after the 1st shot or 2nd shot or “14+ days after 2nd shot”), before Delta was common.

(7) Israel said 64% effectiveness (versus 90–95% Delta) and most of the cases were in people vaccinated early in Jan 2021 - Feb 2021.

(8) Speculation: Since the 64% is an average of people vaccinated early and late. Early vaccinated people may have already dropped to 30–50% effectiveness due to
(A) 5–6 month vaccine fade
(B) Delta

(9) Pfizer said their internal data was consistent with the Israel 64% number, showing
(A) a further decline in effectiveness after 6 months
(B) especially with old people
Scientists and politicians were frustrated with Pfizer though for not releasing any details to the public (either top-level summary numbers, or more detailed data).

Humljanin wrote: ↑10/07/2021 00:46

NediM17 wrote: ↑09/07/2021 13:50

Libo racku i 'rvaCku za takvima k'o sto si ti, al' ne kontate to vi dok vas braca ne ispisaju. Okrenite se sebi i ovoj zemlji, ona je vasa domovina, ne 'rvaCka.
I niko nije moljakao i cekao "ako koja doza ostane", nego fino cetvrtkom na Baldekinu (@Humljanin )termin za vakcinaciju stranih drzavljana. Jest' da su se malo qrcili i srali u stilu "budite nam zahvalni" za razliku od Srbije gdje su ljudi fakat bili gotivni.

Čuj u Šibenik si išao na vakcinu. Zar nema nigdje bliže?

BadBoy wrote: ↑15/07/2021 18:01

daddy-kool wrote: ↑15/07/2021 17:43

Od svih teorija zavjere vezanih za COVID, najvjerovatnija je "potapanje" AZ vakcine lošim PR-om od strane konkurenta.

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:09 broj zataženih u UK i broj umrlih trenutno su ogroman dokaz učinkovitosti AZ vakcine u sprečavanju hospitalizacije i smrti, a što je jedini logičan rezultat vakcinacije. virus se neće istrijebiti, to samo budale očekuju.
jedini broj koji je sada bitan je broj hospitalizacija i broj teško oboljelih i umrlih.
broj pozitivnih je u potpunosti nebitan

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:09 broj zataženih u UK i broj umrlih trenutno su ogroman dokaz učinkovitosti AZ vakcine u sprečavanju hospitalizacije i smrti, a što je jedini logičan rezultat vakcinacije. virus se neće istrijebiti, to samo budale očekuju.
jedini broj koji je sada bitan je broj hospitalizacija i broj teško oboljelih i umrlih.
broj pozitivnih je u potpunosti nebitan

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:26 sjetimo se samo:

ljudi padaju po cesti u wuhanu od virusa,
špricanje čitavih naselja dezinficijesnom
masovnih grobnica u new yorku (obična groblja, sa dijelom za beskućnike kojih ima par stotina hiljada u NY)
hladnjača po gradu za umrle
masovnih grobnica u brazilu
prevoza umrlih vojim kamionima u bergamu
masovnih grobnica u indiji
proizvodnje prvog dezinfekcijskog tunela u BiH u doboju gjde se cijela vlast RS usliakala

itd. itd

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:26 sjetimo se samo:

proizvodnje prvog dezinfekcijskog tunela u BiH u doboju gjde se cijela vlast RS usliakala

itd. itd

high_volume wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:59

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:26 sjetimo se samo:

proizvodnje prvog dezinfekcijskog tunela u BiH u doboju gjde se cijela vlast RS usliakala

itd. itd

Koliko je zaista efikasan dezinfekcijski tunel. Jesu li provedena istraživanja, je li ikad bila uključena "struka"... Koliko je novca potrošena na izgradnji i instalaliranju ovih tunela...

Naslovnica wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:30

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:26 sjetimo se samo:

ljudi padaju po cesti u wuhanu od virusa,
špricanje čitavih naselja dezinficijesnom
masovnih grobnica u new yorku (obična groblja, sa dijelom za beskućnike kojih ima par stotina hiljada u NY)
hladnjača po gradu za umrle
masovnih grobnica u brazilu
prevoza umrlih vojim kamionima u bergamu
masovnih grobnica u indiji
proizvodnje prvog dezinfekcijskog tunela u BiH u doboju gjde se cijela vlast RS usliakala

itd. itd

Vrhunac!

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Piše 24sata,
subota, 20.3.2021. u 20:15


Mediji su ZLO!

Black swan wrote: ↑16/07/2021 09:53 Ja sam uzivao jer sam kucni tip

Naslovnica wrote: ↑16/07/2021 10:34

Black swan wrote: ↑16/07/2021 09:53 Ja sam uzivao jer sam kucni tip

Pa dobro, u tom slučaju ti možeš uživati kada poželiš.

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 10:39

Naslovnica wrote: ↑16/07/2021 10:34
Pa dobro, u tom slučaju ti možeš uživati kada poželiš.

takvim je cilj druge svesti na svoju mjeru

Naslovnica wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:30 Vrhunac!

Domain Name: BALKANTIMES.PRESS
Registry Domain ID: D131766116-CNIC
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.namecheap.com
Registrar URL: https://namecheap.com
Updated Date: 2021-02-11T11:35:37.0Z
Creation Date: 2019-09-28T17:33:27.0Z

seoBIH wrote: ↑16/07/2021 11:28

Naslovnica wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:30 Vrhunac!

Sta i ti čitaš Ovo je totalno clickbait stranica koja siri lazne vijesti da sto vise ljudi posjeti stranicu. Evo i ti im pomazes
Prijavi policiji za sirenje panike i to ce biti ono sto je produktivno

Code: Select all

Domain Name: BALKANTIMES.PRESS
Registry Domain ID: D131766116-CNIC
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.namecheap.com
Registrar URL: https://namecheap.com
Updated Date: 2021-02-11T11:35:37.0Z
Creation Date: 2019-09-28T17:33:27.0Z

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 11:49

seoBIH wrote: ↑16/07/2021 11:28

Sta i ti čitaš Ovo je totalno clickbait stranica koja siri lazne vijesti da sto vise ljudi posjeti stranicu. Evo i ti im pomazes
Prijavi policiji za sirenje panike i to ce biti ono sto je produktivno

Code: Select all

Domain Name: BALKANTIMES.PRESS
Registry Domain ID: D131766116-CNIC
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.namecheap.com
Registrar URL: https://namecheap.com
Updated Date: 2021-02-11T11:35:37.0Z
Creation Date: 2019-09-28T17:33:27.0Z

to je sve krenulo od priloga rtl-a

Naslovnica wrote: ↑16/07/2021 10:34

Black swan wrote: ↑16/07/2021 09:53 Ja sam uzivao jer sam kucni tip

Pa dobro, u tom slučaju ti možeš uživati kada poželiš.

hladan.preminger wrote: ↑16/07/2021 08:09 broj zataženih u UK i broj umrlih trenutno su ogroman dokaz učinkovitosti AZ vakcine u sprečavanju hospitalizacije i smrti, a što je jedini logičan rezultat vakcinacije. virus se neće istrijebiti, to samo budale očekuju.
jedini broj koji je sada bitan je broj hospitalizacija i broj teško oboljelih i umrlih.
broj pozitivnih je u potpunosti nebitan