Hmm
Procitajte ovo ako vas zanima sta Ukrajinci zele i planiraju.
https://www.mil.gov.ua/en/news/2022/05/ ... y-general/
Evo par bitnijih dijelova
According to our evaluations, 17 BTGs were completely destroyed in 80 days.
Despite the huge losses, the russians still outnumber us in heavy weapons. First of all, they dominate in aviation, and also in armored vehicles, MLRS and artillery.
According to Ukrainian intelligence, the total combined group of troops used against Ukraine (including reserves) is about 167 thousand personnel. 91 BTGs are directly deployed to take part in the fighting.
Taking into account all the reserves, russia can send additional 55 BTGs to the hostilities within 1 to 2 months.
The enemy carries out missile and bomb strikes at the objects of defence industrial and fuel-energy complexes of Ukraine on our territory. They also target transportation infrastructure and logistic hubs. The kremlin has increased the number of missile strikes in the south-eastern regions of Ukraine and in the Odesa region.
There are many indications of russia preparing for a long-term military operation. The war is entering a protracted phase. We can already see how the russians occupiers are beginning engineering and fortification works in the Kherson region, in the Zaporizhya in order to move to defense if necessary.
That is why we are very interested in receiving international aid, buying weapons as quickly as possible and in the right quantities. We need tanks, armoured vehicles, long-range fire weapons systems (MLRS, heavy artillery, aircraft, missiles). We strive to save the lives of our people.
Second. We see the need to increase the effectiveness of international assistance through better coordination between all partners.
In particular, weapons that we can get in the form of technical assistance or commercial contracts can come in the short, medium and long term.
between all partners.
In particular, weapons that we can get in the form of technical assistance or commercial contracts can come in the short, medium and long term.
We are interested in coordinating the efforts of all partners - the EU, NATO, the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Japan and other countries - in such a way as to:
• first, to break down possible deliveries into three baskets - short-term, medium-term, long-term; to be able to build up necessary capabilities and use opportunities for a specific period of time.
This is important, including in terms of troops training.
• secondly, to look at all deliveries not only in terms of quantity, but also in terms of the criteria of developing the capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
In particular, the ideal goal is to obtain weapons and military equipment not just as platforms or tubes, but as an organic unit. So that in the end we get not just guns, but also counter-battery means, control machines, UAVs for aiming, air defense / anti-missile means for cover. Elements of this complex may come from different countries, but due to integration we will get a qualitative advantage.
Third point. To implement this approach, it is necessary to ensure synergies between partners.
Mojih par zakljucaka iz ovoga.
Ruski plan:
Zauzimanje Strateskih ciljeva u Donbasu (Kramatorsk i Slavljansk)
Blokada Crnog Mora
Kontrola vec zauzetih teritorija.
Ucjena Ukrajine dugorocno pod ekonomskom blokadom da se trajno oslabi njihova moc rekonstrukcije.
Ako Rusi uzmu Slovljansk i Kramatorsk vjerujem da ce Rusi prestati sa svim ofanzivnim dejstvima i pokusati stvoriti zamrznuti konflikt, ojacati odbranbene polozaje i samim tim smanjiti brojnost Ruskih trupa u citavom reonu.
Na taj nacin pokusace natjerati Ukrajinu na primirje, proglasiti stratesku pobjedu (sakacenje Ukrajine dugorocno) i prestanak vecine ofanzinih dejstava da dobiju par godina da vrate izgubljenu tehniku, ljudstvo i MTs.
Kljucni elemenat za takvo nesto je reakcija MZ pogotovo SAD i Nato. Ako budu pristali na Ruske uvjete, smanje vojnu pomoc Ukrajini to jest onemoguce jacanje UA oruzanih snaga za ofanzivno djelovanje po Rusima onda je to kraj Ukrajine.
Oni (UA) ce biti osudjena na primirje i gubitak ogromne teritorije, ljudstva i slobode izbora kao naroda i dalje.
To bi bila njihova verzija "daytona" samo puno gore nego kod nas.
Ukrajinci pokusavaju svim silama da zadrze dosadasnju Medjunarodnu podrsku sto su dobili.
Bez siroke medjunarodne pomoci da nadjacaju Ruske snage Ukrajinci nece moci istjerati Ruse iz svoje zemlje.
Bojim se toga, znam da ce Balticke zemlje, Poljaci i slicno ostati cvrsto uz Ukrajinu ali ovdje je potrebna pomoc SAD i ostatka NATOa.
Mene duboko brine sto sem Baltika-Poljske-Slovacke niko jos Ukrajini nije dao ofanzivno oruzje.
M777 je jeste ofanzivno ali samo ako nadjaca kolicinski Rusku artiljeriju.
Sto nije slucaj ovdje.
Zapad sad ima dvije opcije
Brzu i sporu
Brza je zestoko naoruzavanje Ukrajine da bi se do kraja godine rjesio rat (sto se jos uvijek ne desava)
Sporu da uvede Ukrajinu i Rusiju u prolongirani mrcvareci rat koji ce osakatiti obe zemlje trajno.
Ne moram reci da je druga opcija najgora moguca po Ukrajinu a mozda najbolja i najeftinija opcija za zapad.
Tu se automatski deeskalira prijetnja o nekom sirem djelovanju Rusije u Europi i svijetu.
Sto se tice Ukrajinskog plana.
Sve jasno receno u ovom tekstu.
Zele brz zavrsetak rata u korist Ukrajine, oslobadjanje okupiranih teritorija i osakacenje Ruske armije za buduce agresije na duze staze.
Traze sve sto oni nemaju trenutno, avijacija, artiljerija, mlrs, oklopi i drugi slozeni sistemi.
Ocigledno da su stvorili neki dugorocni plan kako to izvesti.
Postepena integracija i obuka sistema da se stvori nova UA vojska koja ce kroz vrijeme postati kompletno integrisana u nove sisteme i treninge.
Tu nije u pitanju samo da im se da sto vise necega nego da postoji jasan plan i program kako transformisati UA oruzane snage u jednu kompletnu formaciju koja moze parirati i nadjacati Ruske snage u svim sferama.
Da je mir takvo nesto bi trajalo nekoliko godina, u ratu to se mora kompresovati u mali vremenski okvir.
Uz ogromni trud na terenu od komande do vojnika najbitnije su novci i proizvodni kapaciteti.
Da sumiram, sada se u ovom ratu ne pitaju ni Rusi ni Ukrajinci nego zapad.
Kome se zapad nakloni taj ce i da dobije ono sto zeli.
A najzalosnije je sto bec postoje naznake da odredjeni elementi na Zapadu naginju Rusima.
Macron je neki dan otvoreno trazio od Zelenskog da ne sramoti Putina i da im teritorije
Scholz igra ljigavu igru javno pred novinarima je Pro UA ali u realnosti je protiv UA
Ne moram spominjati Mađare
Neke Europske zemlje se plaho nisu nasekirale vecinom ove skroz na zapadu.
Ne znam sta da kazem za Tursku, oni gledJu svoj interes ali makar nisu ucinili nista Ukrajini da ih osteti.