ajmo malo treda o necijem bogatom iskustvu vezano za gadjanje nepriajteljske sile...
izdvojeno...
When conducting "targeting," there are three important elements to consider:
1). The collection of important intelligence
2). The "boarding" of the target (how to hit, where to hit, when to hit, defenses, etc.)
3). The enemy's ability to avoid being hit. 2/
Collection of intelligence comes in many ways:
-Overhead satellite imagery
-Collection of electronic signals
-Collection of human intelligence information
-"Patterns of life/movement"
-Enemy ability to defend itself
Many countries do intel collection & the US is great at it. 3 ovo!
After collecting the intel, it's passed to the decision maker.
In a US headquarters, the intel folks pass to the commander and his staff, and they "board" the target:
What is the value of the target? Can it be hit? Where & with what? Do we strike now, or later? Etc.4/
Then, the "enemy" plays a role.
Are they vulnerable. What's the "value" of the target? Do they have
OPSEC (operation security)? Can they be fooled? Are they in the right location for a strike, or can they be drawn there? Etc... 5/
So now there are three questions:
-Did the US Collect intel on/against the Russians?
If we didn't, we'd be derelict in our duties, as we collect intel of all nations during war.
-Did we pass it to the UA? Likely yes. Gen Milley has said "the pipes are open." 6/
What kind of intel was it?
Perhaps location of ships in the Black Sea. Perhaps location of command posts? Perhaps troop movement?
Those are valuable pieces of intelligence. 7/
Now, part 2. Did Ukraine first consider and use that information.
If they didn't, they'd also be derelict in their duties.
This is what's called "free chicken."
But also, part of "using" intel in targeting is developing a plan for attack.
The strike of unit command posts or ships in the Black Sea through various methods requires damned good military actions.
The UA has shown that capacity in spades. 9/
But then there's the final piece: Was the enemy vulnerable? Did they practice OPSEC? Were they "fooled?"
All of these things proved to be true.
-A blue water ship steaming close to shore, and allowing it's air defense systems to be "spoofed." 10/
-A command post - likely with a lot of senior officers - within artillery range and too close to the front, with little ability to protect itself.
-A lot of hubris, thinking they can do things without force protection and operation security. 11/
A summary:
Did we pass intelligence? Likely, yes
Did Ukraine us it to their advantage and with skill? Also, likely yes.
Did Russia do a few dumb things to put their army/navy at risk? Only they can answer that. 12/12
