drugi profil wrote:Neko kaze da smrtna kazna ne smanjuje broj teskih djela.
Mozda, zavisi kako ko tumaci statistiku. Ima statistika koja pokazuje da drasticno smanjuje broj teskih djela.
Dalje, blaga kaznena politika provocira nova teska djela, bez sumnje. Za to nam ne treba statistika.
Evo npr. da se ja osjecam ugrozen od kriminalaca i nezasticen od pravne drzave.
U slucaju da se neko tesko ogrijesi od mene, moju suprugu ili djecu, vjerovatno bih pribjegao osveti zbog nepostojanja straha i prijetnje od teske kazne. Cak bih racunao na blagu kaznu jer bih uz pomoc medija mozda sve mogao prikazati kao borbu malog covjeka da zastiti porodicu od bandita. Klasicni vestern gdje publika na kraju pljesce iznad mrtvih bandita.
Nasa zemlja je potpuno zrela za to i toga ce sve vise da bude.
Pa daj da vidim onda tu statistiku? Nema smisla sad govoriti sta bi ti, kako sam kazes "vjerovatno", radio u nekoj zamisljenoj situaciji.
"Our survey indicates that the vast majority of the world’s top criminologists believe that the empirical research has revealed the deterrence hypothesis for a myth... 88.2% of polled criminologists do not believe that the death penalty is a deterrent... 9.2% answered that the statement '[t]he death penalty significantly reduces the number of homicides' was accurate... Overall, it is clear that however measured, fewer than 10% of the polled experts believe the deterrence effect of the death penalty is stronger than that of long-term imprisonment... Recent econometric studies, which posit that the death penalty has a marginal deterrent effect beyond that of long-term imprisonment, are so limited or flawed that they have failed to undermine consensus.
In short, the consensus among criminologists is that the death penalty does not add any significant deterrent effect above that of long-term imprisonment."
2009 - Michael L. Radelet , PhD, Professor and Associate Chair at the Department of Sociology of the University of Colorado at Boulder
"The death penalty has no deterrent effect. Claims that each execution deters a certain number of murders have been thoroughly discredited by social science research. People commit murders largely in the heat of passion, under the influence of alcohol or drugs, or because they are mentally ill, giving little or no thought to the possible consequences of their acts. The few murderers who plan their crimes beforehand -- for example, professional executioners -- intend and expect to avoid punishment altogether by not getting caught. Some self-destructive individuals may even hope they will be caught and executed."
Apr. 9, 2007 - American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU)
"One argument for the death penalty is that it is a strong deterrent to murder and other violent crimes. In fact, evidence shows just the opposite. The homicide rate is at least five times greater in the United States than in any Western European country, all without the death penalty.
Southern states carry out more than 80 percent of the executions but have a higher murder rate than any other region. Texas has by far the most executions, but its homicide rate is twice that of Wisconsin, the first state to abolish the death penalty. Look at similar adjacent states: There are more capital crimes in South Dakota, Connecticut and Virginia (with death sentences) than neighboring North Dakota, Massachusetts and West Virginia (without death penalties). Furthermore, there has never been any evidence that the death penalty reduces capital crimes or that crimes increased when executions stopped..."
Apr. 25, 2012 - Jimmy Carter
"No support whatsoever is found for the argument that the certainty, or celerity [speed], of the death penalty provides an effective deterrent to murder.
Although some possible limitations of this investigation have been identified, the consistency of the findings with earlier studies cannot be ignored. Nor can it be ignored that not a single reputable study has yet to demonstrate the death penalty to be a more effective deterrent to murder than alternative legal sanctions...
For these reasons, and because of the seriousness of the issue, I feel obliged to agree with most previous investigators. The evidence clearly suggests that the death penalty in our criminal justice system, at least for murder, will have to be justified on grounds other than its deterrence effectiveness."
June 1980 - William C. Bailey, PhD, Professor Emeritus of Sociology at Cleveland State University