It_is_a_Leclerc wrote:Šta kažu zadnje ankete ? Kakva je situacija sa elektorskim glasovima?
Trenutno ovako

Trump treba uzeti jednu od ovih svijetlo plavih drzava MA, WI, MN, PA, NV, CO ( pod pretpostavkom da su FL i NC crvene ). MA, WI, MN, PA tzv."Rust Belt" industrijske drzave koje su od 88 glasali za demokrate. Te su drzave i pretrpjele najvecu stetu od NAFTE, WTOa, globalizacije, selidbe kompanija u druge zemlje. To su one stvari o kojima Trump konstantno govori.
sa wikipedije:
Rust Belt, previously known as the industrial heartland of America, industry has been declining in the region since the mid-20th century due to a variety of economic factors, such as the transfer of manufacturing further West, increased automation, the decline of the US steel and coal industries, free trade agreements such as the North America Free Trade Agreement (N.A.F.T.A.) or accession to the World Trade Organization, globalisation, and outsourcing of jobs out of the U.S.
Trump condemned the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), saying that if elected president, "We will either renegotiate it, or we will break it."
Trump has called the World Trade Organization (WTO) a "disaster". When informed that tariffs in the range of 15 to 35 percent would be contrary to the rules of the WTO, he answered "even better. Then we're going to renegotiate or we're going to pull out."
Ocekujem da ce Trump uspjeti zakaciti bar jednu od ovih sest i uzeti izbore (uz Floridu koja je i dalje kriticna zbog velike izlaznost Latinosa na "early voting").
Inace Nate SIlver najpoznatiji politicki statisticar i analiticar sa fivethrirtyeight.com koji je tacno predvidio rezultate 99 od 100 drzava 2008 i 2012 trenutno Trumpu daje 35% sanse za pobjedu. Za usporedbu, dan prije izbora Romney je imao svega 9% .
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201 ... 6-forecast