#109476 Re: Ukrajina
Posted: 03/09/2022 12:28
Da sam ork, primjenio bi taktiku Tarika ibn Zijada.
According to the Main Directorate of Intelligence, 40 percent of Russian military equipment, which is equipped with the Third Army Corps, is not combat-ready.
"The story of the third army corps will stretch until November. The problem is human resources. Staffing by specialists. It takes 3-4 months to prepare a normal specialist. Also a problem is the acquisition of equipment and weapons. All the latest equipment was in service with those battalion tactical groups that entered our territory in February-March.
Now we see that all the units that are being formed are equipped with Soviet weapons, which are removed from storage bases and arsenals and enter the troops. According to our estimates, 40 percent of military equipment is not combat-ready. It needs to be repaired and put in order.", said Vadym Skibitsky, representative of the Military Intelligence of Ukraine.
Možda nije sve savršeno provjereno, ali ako čekam da se odgovori na sva moja pitanja, možda će proći nekoliko dana. Dakle, dozvolite mi da se usuđujem da procenim dešavanja u Hersonskoj oblasti poslednjih dana na sledeći način:
Najbitniji dioSanskiBiser wrote: ↑03/09/2022 13:21 Frisko od Coopera uz caveat
Možda nije sve savršeno provjereno, ali ako čekam da se odgovori na sva moja pitanja, možda će proći nekoliko dana. Dakle, dozvolite mi da se usuđujem da procenim dešavanja u Hersonskoj oblasti poslednjih dana na sledeći način:
Up front; the more I read and review different Russian ‘descriptions’, ‘reports’ and ‘updates’, the more I’m becoming convinced that the Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kherson is coming forward quite fine (details below). Indeed, the Russians are — slowly, very slowly — growing desperate.
Pa isti je izvor, koji koriste gotovo svi. Od ISWa do Coopera.
ne mogu dovući i na lijevu obalu, jer ne smiju....na početku su na Bayre našli odgovor, a na HIMARS-e još nisuA_A_AKCIJA wrote: ↑03/09/2022 12:12 Dešava se očekivano.
Rusi ne mogu braniti mostobran kod Hersona, jer su odsječeni. Par dana gore dole, ali će biti izbačeni sa desne obale Dnjepra.
Jedina šansa je da dovuku ogromne ogromne artiljerijske snage na lijevu obalu i rokaju dok se boje ne rastope. Drugo je da se avijacija umješa sa deset puta više aktivnosti i preuzme nebo iznad Hersona.
Kao što vidimo, ne da se to ne dešava, nego Bayre prže dan i noć, što znači da avijacije i PVO nema ni blizu koliko bi trebalo. Ukrajinska avijacija leti u rekordnom broju kampanja.
OPSEC polako slabi i sve je više snimaka koji potvrđuju ovo gore.
Jednostavno, sva vojna nauka i logika govori kakav će biti rezultat. Samo je pitanje dana. Barže i srušeni mostovi ne mogu opskrbiti Ruse preko rijeke i tu se sva priča završava. Jedino ako počnu koristiti teleport.
Rusima treba ogroman preokret, za koji nemaju snage, a kojim bi produbili mostobran. Ovako su donji.
E jbg Cooperu vise su napredovali na tim reonima nego sto sam ja napisaoVysokopillya: 70–80% of the place should be under Ukrainian control, but the Russians are still trying to counterattack and either save something of their position or extract their surviving VDV from there (not easy because Ukrainians are on both flanks of their corridor to the ruins of this place); this is why Ukrainians are still reporting Russian attacks on nearby Potomkyne, too (which, obviously, remains under Ukrainian control)
Olhyne: Ukrainians are inside, but not yet in control;
Novovoznesenske: mostly under Ukrainian control, Russians might still be present in its south-western corner, though (they have to, otherwise what’s left of the VDV in Vysokopillya would’ve been cut off).
Zolota Balka: Ukrainian, and — and even better, yet largely unnoticed by the public,
Mykhalivka: Ukrainian (that’s some 10km down Dnipro from Zolota Balka).
South
Zeleny Hai: Ukrainian;
Ternovi Pody: Ukrainian;
Ljubomirovka: contested (Ukrainians are inside, but not yet in control);
Barvinok: Ukrainian;
Krutyi Yar: contested;
Kyselivka: contested;
Blahodatne: contested (Ukrainians are inside, but not yet in control; t
Soldatske: contested;
Parysheve: contested;
Pravdyne: Ukrainian (actually, the Russians reported Ukrainians advancing well past this village, but then being ‘forced back to the Blahodatne-Pravdyne line’);
Tomyna Balka: Ukrainian (this was the deepest penetration by Ukrainians in this part of Kherson Oblast, already on the first day of this operation; it appears that it cost the VDV two of its BTGs, both of which were reduced to about 50–60 troops; Russian artillery losses in this area were heavy, too);
Oleksandrivka (on the coast): Ukrainian (though some Russians claim it as in their hands).
This might sound like ‘online psychoanalysis’ (which I’m despising so much), but one should keep in mind not only the level to which the Putin regime is controlling any kind of media outlets in Russia, but the level of illusions into which the mass of Russians still involved in monitoring and commenting this war are descending, too. At earlier times, they would discuss combat experiences, attack on this or that place. Nowadays, they’re discussing whether Ukraine is a nation, black-magic, gay-Satanists and zombie-soldiers on dope, or posting such statements like ‘the Ukrainian military is retreating from positions in many areas’ — without any kind of details.
lajkujMe wrote: ↑03/09/2022 13:31E jbg Cooperu vise su napredovali na tim reonima nego sto sam ja napisaoVysokopillya: 70–80% of the place should be under Ukrainian control, but the Russians are still trying to counterattack and either save something of their position or extract their surviving VDV from there (not easy because Ukrainians are on both flanks of their corridor to the ruins of this place); this is why Ukrainians are still reporting Russian attacks on nearby Potomkyne, too (which, obviously, remains under Ukrainian control)
Olhyne: Ukrainians are inside, but not yet in control;
Novovoznesenske: mostly under Ukrainian control, Russians might still be present in its south-western corner, though (they have to, otherwise what’s left of the VDV in Vysokopillya would’ve been cut off).
Zolota Balka: Ukrainian, and — and even better, yet largely unnoticed by the public,
Mykhalivka: Ukrainian (that’s some 10km down Dnipro from Zolota Balka).
Mehlem za dušu, čitam evo ali nemam kad sve ispratiti, zbirni rezultat mašalah...lajkujMe wrote: ↑03/09/2022 13:31E jbg Cooperu vise su napredovali na tim reonima nego sto sam ja napisaoVysokopillya: 70–80% of the place should be under Ukrainian control, but the Russians are still trying to counterattack and either save something of their position or extract their surviving VDV from there (not easy because Ukrainians are on both flanks of their corridor to the ruins of this place); this is why Ukrainians are still reporting Russian attacks on nearby Potomkyne, too (which, obviously, remains under Ukrainian control)
Olhyne: Ukrainians are inside, but not yet in control;
Novovoznesenske: mostly under Ukrainian control, Russians might still be present in its south-western corner, though (they have to, otherwise what’s left of the VDV in Vysokopillya would’ve been cut off).
Zolota Balka: Ukrainian, and — and even better, yet largely unnoticed by the public,
Mykhalivka: Ukrainian (that’s some 10km down Dnipro from Zolota Balka).
South
Zeleny Hai: Ukrainian;
Ternovi Pody: Ukrainian;
Ljubomirovka: contested (Ukrainians are inside, but not yet in control);
Barvinok: Ukrainian;
Krutyi Yar: contested;
Kyselivka: contested;
Blahodatne: contested (Ukrainians are inside, but not yet in control; tSoldatske: contested;
Parysheve: contested;
Pravdyne: Ukrainian (actually, the Russians reported Ukrainians advancing well past this village, but then being ‘forced back to the Blahodatne-Pravdyne line’);
Tomyna Balka: Ukrainian (this was the deepest penetration by Ukrainians in this part of Kherson Oblast, already on the first day of this operation; it appears that it cost the VDV two of its BTGs, both of which were reduced to about 50–60 troops; Russian artillery losses in this area were heavy, too);
Oleksandrivka (on the coast): Ukrainian (though some Russians claim it as in their hands).
E sad totalni ego trip od mene
80% sam bio u pravu skoro sve pogodio
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Jebo vas Rybar eto